Why the shortfall exists
The IRS classifies RSU vests as "supplemental wages," withheld at a flat 22% (37% only on supplemental income past $1M). But the vest stacks on top of your salary - so its real marginal rate is whatever bracket your salary already reached: 24%, 32%, 35%. The calculator computes the actual 2026-bracket tax on your stacked income and subtracts what the flat rate withholds - federal and state.
What to do about it
Three fixes, in order of ease: sell enough shares at each vest and park the set-aside figure above; file a new W-4 adding extra withholding per paycheck; or pay quarterly estimates. And know the safe harbor: pay in at least 110% of last year's total tax (100% if AGI under $150k) and you owe no penalty regardless of the shortfall - the balance is simply due in April.
ESPP, while you're here
ESPP discounts are also ordinary income and typically have zero withholding - the same trap, smaller dollars. Add your expected discount income to the RSU field for a combined estimate.
Notes
Uses 2026 federal brackets and the standard deduction; Additional Medicare (0.9% over $200k/$250k) included. Capital gains after the vest are a separate, second tax event - the vest itself is pure ordinary income.